Manaslu Forecast 17 Sept 13

bm-image-799233
The majority of the group opted to rest at Camp 1 and spent the next 24hrs rehydrating and eating. Rob and Geordie feeling better than the rest opted to recce the route to Camp 2 through the ice fall, they both came back reporting a hard yet exciting route.

Manaslu Forecast - 17 sep 2013

General jet stream considerations:
the main axis of the Sub tropical jet stream is positioned over the northern parts of China, with one branch extending to Central China. No sign of jet stream approaching Nepal.

Day1: 17sep
C1: SW 10kt/T:-6C
C3: SW 10-15kt/T:-10C
C4: SW 15-20kt/T:-14C
Sum: SW 25-30kt gradu decreasing/T:-21C
wx: mainly sunny with good conditions,unstable Cu clouds between 6-7500mr-no significant ppn expected (nsppn)

Day2: 18sep
C1: SSW 5-10kt/T:-6C
C3: SW 10-15kt decreasing/T:-10C
C4: SW 20kt decreasing 10-15kt/T:-14C
Sum: SW 20-25 decreasing to 15kt/T:-19C
wx: mainly sunny with good conditions, unstable (Cu-clouds) between 5500-7000mr, slight risk isolated shower

Day3: 19sep
C1: S 5kt/T:-3C
C3: SSW 10kt/T:-9C
C4: SSW 15kt/T:-12C
Sum: SW 15kt/T:-19C
wx: mainly sunny with good conditions, unstable between 5500-7500mr/growing Cu clouds/isol shower

Day4: 20sep
C1: SSW 5-10kt/T:-4C
C3: SW 10kt/T:-9C
C4: SW 10-15kt/T:-13C
Sum: WSW 15-20kt/T:-19C
wx: gradu increasing/thickening cloudiness between 5500-8000mr/slight shower

Day5:21sep
C1: WSW 5-10kt/T:-4C
C3: WSW 5-10kt/T:-9C
C4: WSW 10-15kt, decreasing/T:-14C
Sum: WSW 10-15kt, decreasing/T:-19C
wx:growing Cu becoming very cloudy-up to 7500-8000mr/slight showers

Manaslu 2013

robert-smith
(c) Robert Kelso Smith

Manaslu Forecast - 14 september 2013

Day 1: 14 september
Wind:
C1: 5-10kt
C3: 5-10kt
C4: increasing to 10-15kt
Summit: increasing to 20-25kt
Weather:
mainly sunny with good conditions (patchy high clouds)

Day 2: 15 september
Wind:
C1: 10kt
C3: 10-15kt
C4: increasing to 15-20kt
Summit: increasing to 25-30kt
Weather:
mainly sunny with good conditions

Day 3: 16 september
Wind:
C1: 10kt
C3: 10-15kt
C4: 15-20kt
Summit: 25-30kt slightly decreasing
Weather:
mainly sunny with good conditions, cloudy in lower levels

Day 4: 17 september
Wind:
C1: 5-10kt
C3: 10-15kt
C4: 15-20kt
Summit: decreasing to 20-25kt
Weather:
mainly sunny with good conditions, cloudy in lower levels

Day 5: 18 september
Wind:
C1: 5-10kt
C3: 10kt
C4: 10-15kt
Summit: 20kt
Weather:
mainly sunny with good conditions, cloudy in lower levels

Altitudes
BC: 4900m
C1: 5700m - level 1
C2: 6200m -
C3: 6800m - level 2
C4: 7400m - level 3
Summit Col: 7970m
Summit 8156m - level 4

Expedition Q - Forecast 12 September

Forecast Expedition Q - 12 Sept 64.3/-73.7

position11
The teams latest position (11 September 2013)

Forecast is sent as three short txt message (max 160 digits per message) to the teams sat phone

Message 1
Day1:12sep
Pos:64.3/-73.7
Wind: WNW to NW 8-13kt - no significant change
Wx: very cloudy with few showery outbreaks-later sunny spells

Message 2
Day2:13sep
Pos:64.2/-73.9
Wind:W to WNW 5-10kt
Wx:mix sunny spells/cloudy periods-showery outbreak after18utc sunny/dry

Message 3
Day3:14sep
Pos:64/-74
Wind: S3-8kt after 15/18utc SE10-15kt
Wx:sunny after 15utc increasing high clouds

Greenland Fall Crossing - Forecast

This is where Polar Exploration really started with Nansen’s crossing in 1888. And till today it stands out as the most important expedition you can take on. If you have conquered The Inland Ice you are ready for everything!

bengt-0028174-d200

This fall crossing of Greenland, organized by Borge Ousland Polar Exploration, is guided by Bengt Rotmo. Bengt Rotmo (born 1973) is a Norwegian polar guide, dog musher, journalist and adventurer. He lives in Levanger with his wife and three children.

weather4expeditions.com supports this crossing with forecasts on crucial points and moments:

Today 10 September 2013 - a huge storm is scourging the team. Forecast:

Position @ 66.5/-45.5 - 10 september 2013

Day 1: 10 september
Position: 66.5/-45.8
Wind: SE 38-43kt average, gusting possibly up to 60kt. Gradually decreasing after 15utc
Weather: cloudy with snow showers/blowing snow-poor visibility, improving after 15utc
Temperatures: day: -6C/night:-12C

Day 2: 11 september
Position: 66.5/-46
Wind: S 10-15kt temporarily increasing up to W 15-20kt
Weather: very cloudy with outbreaks of slight/moderate snow-no significant change
Temperatures: day: -8C/night: -15C

Day 3: 12 september
Position: 66.5/-46
Wind: NW 8-13kt-no significant change
Weather: very cloudy with periods of slight snow-no significant change
Temperatures: day: -10C/night: -15C

Himalaya: Manaslu 2013

sunrise_manaslu
Sunrise @ Manaslu (c) Ben Tubby

In Aug 2013 members of the Royal Engineers Mountain and Exploration Club (REMEC) will depart the UK and flight to Nepal with the aim of making an summit attempt on Manaslu 8156m, one of 14 8000er’s and the 8th highest mountain in the world. This is the first time the Corps has undertaken an expedition of this scale and has been in the planning for over a year.

Weather4expeditions.com provides this expedition with daily weather forecasts, send to them via text messages. We wish them the best of luck and a safe return.

The daily weather forecast will be issued on this website.

Manaslu Forecast - 9 sep - 28.6/84.6

Day 1: 9sep
Wind:
C1:5kt
C3:5-10kt
C4:5-10kt
Sum:10kt
Weather: clouds up to 55-6000mr-clear above

Day 2: 10sep
Wind:
C1:5kt
C3:5-10kt
C4:5-10kt
Sum:10kt
Weather: clouds up to 55-6000m, sunny above/gradu increasing clouds

Day 3: 11sep
Weather:
C1:5kt
C3:5-10kt
C4:5-10kt
Sum:10kt
Weather: very cloudy/ovc clouds up to summit/showers

Day 4: 12 sep
C1:5-10kt
C3:5-10kt
C4:5-10kt
Sum:10kt
Weather: still very cloudy, gradu slightly improving/still showers

Day5: 13 sep
Wind
C1:10kt
C3:10kt
C4:10kt
Sum:10-15kt
Weather: enlarging sunny spells, improving conditions

Altitudes:
BC: 4900m
C1: 5700m - level 1 = 500hPa
C2: 6200m -
C3: 6800m - level 2 = 450hPa
C4: 7400m - level 3 = 400hPa
SummitCol:7970m
Summit 8156m - level 4: 370hPa

Gamlang Razi Forecast 6 September

Forecast Gamlang Razi-Myanmar 6 September 2013: +28.45/+97.8

mt1

1. Altitudes
BC: 12000ft-650hpa
C1: 16500ft-550hpa
C2: 18000ft-500hpa
St: 19000ft-450hpa

2.General
Weather: confirmation of yesterday’s forecast: today conditions will gradually improve and tomorrow should be one of the better days
Wind: weak in lower levels,weak to moderate at higher levels, gradu decreasing

3. Details
Day1:6sep
Weatherintensity of showers should gradually decreases+sunny spells
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-9C

Day2:7sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-5C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-10C

Day3:8sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW5kt/Tmp:-1C
C2:W5-10kt/Tmp:-5C
St:W10-15kt/Tmp:-10C

Day4:9sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW5kt/Tmp:-1C
C2:WSW5-10kt/Tmp:-5C
St:W10kt/Tmp:-10C

Day5:10sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW5kt/Tmp:-1C
C2:WSW5-10kt/Tmp:-5C
St:W10kt/Tmp:-10C

Gamlang Razi 5 September

andy-tyson

Andy Tyson

Forecast Gamlang Razi-Myanmar 5 September 2013

1. Altitudes
BC: 12000ft-650hpa
C1: 16500ft-550hpa
C2: 18000ft-500hpa
St: 19000ft-450hpa

2.General
Weather: At last really poor day than a spell with somehow better conditions although a showery outbreak remains possible
Wind: weak in lower levels,weak to moderate at higher levels, gradu decreasing

3. Details
Day1:5sep
Weather:very cloudy-ovc/modrain/snow, after 18utc clearing
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-3C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-8C

Day2:6sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-9C

Day3:7sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-5C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-10C

Day4:8sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW5kt/Tmp:-1C
C2:W5-10kt/Tmp:-5C
St:W10-15kt/Tmp:-10C

Day5:9sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW5kt/Tmp:-1C
C2:WSW5-10kt/Tmp:-5C
St:W10kt/Tmp:-10C

Gamlang Razi Forecast 4 September

Forecast Gamlang Razi-Myanmar 4 September 2013

chris-nance
Chris Nance

1. Altitudes
BC: 12000ft-650hpa
C1: 16500ft-550hpa
C2: 18000ft-500hpa
St: 19000ft-450hpa

2.General
Weather: still very cloudy with outbreaks of moderate rain/sleet/snow but over the next few days gradually some improvement develops
Wind: weak in lower levels,weak to moderate at higher levels

3. Details
Day1:4sep
Weather:very cloudy/modrain/snow only few sunny spells
C1:SW10-15kt/Tmp:+0C
C2:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-3C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-8C

Day2:5sep
Weather:very cloudy/slightrain/snow, later sunny spells
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C

Day3:6sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C

Day4:7sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C

Day5:8sep
Weather:mix sunny-dry spells/cloudy periods + isol shower
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:WSW10kt/Tmp:-4C
St:W10-15kt/Tmp:-9C

Gamlang Razi Forecast 3 September

molly-l

Molly Loomis

Forecast Gamlang Razi-Myanmar 3 September 2013

 
1. Altitudes
BC: 12000ft-650hpa
C1: 16500ft-550hpa
C2: 18000ft-500hpa
St: 19000ft-450hpa
 
2.General
Weather
: still remaining very cloudy with outbreaks of moderate to heavy rain/sleet/snow depending on altitude-gradually some improvement develops from day 3
Wind: weak in lower levels,weak to moderate at higher levels
 
3. Details
Day1:3sep
BC:SW5kt/Tmp:+9C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:WSW10-15kt/Tmp:-2C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-8C
Weather:very cloudy-ovc/moderate showers,less after 12utc
 
Day2:4sep
BC:SW5-10kt/Tmp:+7C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:+0C
C2:WSW10-15kt/Tmp:-3C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-8C
Weather:very cloudy/modrain/snow tempo few sunny spells

Day3:5sep
BC:SSW5-10kt/Tmp:+7C
C1:SW5-10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15kt/Tmp:-9C
Weather:very cloudy/slightrain/snow, later sunny spells

Day4:6sep
BC:SSW5-10kt/Tmp:+7C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C
Weather:very cloudy/slight rain/snow enlarging sunny spells

Day5:7sep
BC:SSW5-10kt/Tmp:+6C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW10-15kt/Tmp:-9C
Weather:mix sunny spells/cloudy periods+fewshowery outbreaks

Gamlang Razi Forecast 2 September

basecamp

Forecast Gamlang Razi-Myanmar 2 September 2013

 
1. Altitudes
BC: 12000ft-650hpa
C1: 16500ft-550hpa
C2: 18000ft-500hpa
St: 19000ft-450hpa
 
2.General
Weather: still remaining very cloudy with outbreaks of moderate to heavy rain/sleet/snow depending on altitude-there is a hint of improvement towards the end of this period
Wind: weak in lower levels,weak to moderate at higher levels
 
3. Details
Day1:2sep
BC:SW10kt/Tmp:+10C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:WSW10-15kt/Tmp:-2C
St:W15-20kt/Tmp:-7C
Weather:very cloudy-ovc/heavy rain/snow showers
 
Day2:3sep
BC:SW5kt/Tmp:+8C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:+1C
C2:SW15kt/Tmp:-3C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-7C
Weather:very cloudy-ovc/moderate rain/snow showers
 
Day3:4sep
BC:SSW5kt/Tmp:+6C
C1:SW5-10kt/Tmp:+0C
C2:WSW10-15kt/Tmp:-3C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C
Weather:very cloudy/modrain/snow tempo shortsunnyspells

Day4:5sep
BC:SSW5kt/Tmp:+6C
C1:SW5-10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW10-15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW15-20kt/Tmp:-9C
Weather:very cloudy/slightrain/snow, sunny spells

Day5:6sep
BC:SSW5kt/Tmp:+6C
C1:SW10kt/Tmp:0C
C2:SW15kt/Tmp:-4C
St:WSW20kt/Tmp:-8C
Weather:very cloudy/slight rain/snow enlarging sunny spells

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