Forecast - Dhaulaguiri 2013 (28.5/83.5)
Saturday, May 4th, 2013Forecast - Dhaulaguiri 2013 (28.5/83.5)
Forecast 04 may-valid from 04 May until 09 May
1. Levels
Base camp BC: 4,740mr 15,550ft - 550
Camp 1 C1: 5,700mr 18,700ft - 500
Camp 2 C2: 6,900mr 21,500ft - 450
Camp 3 C3: 7,500mr 22,600ft - 400
Summit C4: 8,167mr 26,795ft - 350
2. In general:
-Weather: some slight cloud development with a risk for a slight snow shower in the lower parts of the mountain. Blowing snow conditions above 6000mr.
-Wind: throughout this period the wind is out of limits above 7000mr. There is no indication of a weather window of lesser winds. We need to bear in mind that the wind also between 5 and 7000mr is pretty strong with possibly strong gusts.
3. Weather
04 may : sunny - slight cloud development between 5 and 6000mr- risk for (slight) snow/showers: 10-20%
05 may : sunny - slight cloud development between 5 and 6000mr- risk for (slight) snow/showers: 10-20%
06 may : sunny - slight to moderate cloud development between 4 and 6500mr- risk for (slight) snow/showers: 30%
07 may : sunny - slight cloud development between 4 and 5000mr- risk for (slight) snow/showers: 10%
08 may : sunny - slight cloud development between 4 and 5000mr- risk for (slight) snow/showers: 10%
09 may : sunny - hardly any cloud development - risk for (slight) snow/showers: 10%
4. Temperatures changes during this period
BC: from -5C to -3C
C1: from -9C to -6C
C2: from -14C to -13C
C3: from -22C to -19C
S: from -29C to -27C
still it is getting slowly slightly warmer at all levels of the mountain
Remark: temperatures shown are the temperatures taken at 00utc of the first day of the period (first column) and compared to the temperatures at 00utc of the last day of this period (second column).
5. Detailed Wind Forecast: see pdf windprint -
I have high lighted in red the winds that exceed 30kt between 7500mr and the summit
The values in blue are ‘in limits winds’ above 7500mr
Remark: wind print example: “260@050” means wind from 260 degrees true and average speed is 50 knots


