Archive for the ‘Supported kite expeditions/trips’ Category

Bering Strait Crossing: Forecast 10 August-day 3

Tuesday, August 10th, 2010

map2

To do a succesfull crossing of the Bering Strait by kite you not only need to be extremely fit and skilled, but you also need to be utterly patient: the ideal weather window (Southerly/Northerly wind of about 25kt and good visibility for at least 6 hours) is a rare phenomenon in that part of the world. Not likely to happen over the next few days:

Bering Strait Crossing with Kites 10 Aug - day 5
Forecast is valid for the daylight hours: between 12utc and 04utc
Start=Wales Middle=Diomedes End=Russia

Day 1: 10 Aug
Wind:
Start: 010-030°4-8kt after 18/21utc becoming 350-010°less than 5kt
Middle: 350-010°8-13kt, no significant change
End: 340-360°10-15kt no significant change
Weather: very cloudy to overcast with some rain or showery outbreaks.

Day 2: 11 Aug
Wind:
Start: less than 5kt from variable directions after 18utc becoming 180-200°5-10kt
Middle: less than 5kt from variable directions, no significant change
End: 010-030°4-8kt after 18utc becoming less than 5kt from variable directions
Weather: cloudy with sunny spells, possibly a shower

Day 3: 12 Aug
Wind:
Start: 190-210°4-8kt after 21utc becoming 190-210°8-13kt
Middle: less than 5kt from variable directions after 18/21utc becoming 180-200°5-10kt
End: less than 5kt from variable directions, no significant change
Weather: very cloudy to overcast with rain/showers

Latest weather report from Wales Airport
08utc - 10 august
wind: calm
vsibility: 10 miles
sky: overcast
weather: no precipitation
Temperature: 16°C/60°F

Conclusion
According to my latest products, there is no obvious window to do the trip. Wind changes quite significantly from West to East and is in general too weak.

Bering Strait Crossing: Forecast 8 August - day 1

Sunday, August 8th, 2010

map1

Troy and Geza arrived in Wales, Alaska. They are ready to do the first ever crossing of the Bering Strait by kites! This 50 miles stretch between the United States and Russia is well known for its dangerous currents and unpredictable weather. That is up to now: from today onwards weather4expeditions is going to predict the ideal weather window for the guys to kite from the States to Russia. Godspeed! Click on the Image to see the full display: synoptic situation valid 09 Aug

Bering Strait Crossing with Kites 08 Aug - day 3
Forecast is valid for the daylight hours: between 12utc and 04utc
Start=Wales/Middle=Diomedes/End=Russia

Day 1: 08 Aug
Wind:
Start: 360-020°8-13kt after 18/21utc becoming 020-040°14-18kt
Middle: 010-030°10-15kt after 18/21utc becoming 010-030°16-20kt
End: 340-020°8-13kt after 21utc becoming 010-030°13-18kt
Weather: overcast becoming alternating clouds and sunny spells, dry.

Day 2: 09 Aug
Wind:
Start: 060-080°15-20kt after 15utc becoming 070-090°5-10kt
Middle: 060-080°17-22kt after 15utc becoming 050-070°5-10kt
End: 030-050°13-18kt after 18utc becoming 040-060°6-10kt
Weather: overcast with periods of rain, tempo poor visibility

Day 3: 10 Aug
Wind:
Start: 080-100°6-10kt after 18utc becoming less than 6kt from variable directions
Middle: 050-070°8-12kt after 18utc becoming less than 6kt from variable directions
End: 020-040°8-12kt after 18utc becoming 020-040°5-10kt
Weather: sunny spells alternating cloudy periods with showery outbreaks

Latest weather report from Wales Airport
07utc - 08 august
wind: 060°12kt
vsibility: 10 miles
sky: overcast
weather: no precipitation
Temperature: 9°C/49°F

Conclusion
As from this forecast i would say that today would have been a good day: increasing wind during the daytime, around Diomedes up to maximum 20kt average (gust 30-35kt)
Tomorrow in general decreasing winds after 15/18utc but also poor weather conditions, rain and probably poor visibility.
The day after tomorrow: showery outbreaks but the wind will probably decrease significantly during the daytime.

Neem 2010: Forecast 21 July - day 83

Wednesday, July 21st, 2010

21julibkopie

This really nice satellite shot from polar orbiting noaa19, shows a classic frontal depression covering the greatest parts of Greenland. The center of the depression is situated really close to the Neem Site so the weather for the ice core drillers will be extremely poor: overcast, snow, blowing snow and warm! Linked to this depression you can see a waving coldfront (to the South of the site). A wave on the coldfront usually means that the system will slow down in its Eastern progression. So could be a while that the weather remains poor over Neem. (c) Sat Image from Weather Office Canada.

General
The warm impulse i mentioned yesterday has developed to a classic frontal depression that lays overhead the Neem site, hence Northern Greenland. Products suggest that this system will linger there for a while as it is really reluctant to evacuate.

21/07/10 - day 1
- Wind: SW 18-23kt, after 18/21utc becoming 12-17kt (average).
- Weather: multilayered and solidly overcast with snow and blowing snow. Poor conditions. No significant change. Blowing snow weakens overnight.
- Temperature: Min06utc=-7°C dayMax(18utc)=-4°C

22/07/10 - day 2
- Wind: S to SSW 10-15kt, after 18/21utc becoming 8-13kt.
- Weather: still solidly overcast with periods of snow. Snow fall becomes a little weaker but still no significant improvement.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-7°C (18utc)=-3°C.

23/07/10 - day 3
- wind: 18/21utc becoming S 4-8kt.
- Weather: similar to previous day: very cloudy to overcast with periods of snow or snow showers.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-8°C (18utc)=-3°C

Neem 2010:forecast 13 July - day 75

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

13juliekopie

(c) satellite Canada Weather Office

General
This mornings satellite image shows pretty clear conditions for the largest parts of Greenland, except for the Northwest. Some quite extensive, patchy cloud covers that region of Greenland but is slowly moving in a NW’ly way, so possibly some temporary improvement can be expected.

13/07/10 - day 1
- Wind: S 8-12kt, backing a little to SSE to SE.
- Weather: very cloudy with low stratus but during the day those clouds should break and result in some sunny spells. however quite significant amounts of medium and high level cloud will remain.
- Temperature: Min06utc=-14°C dayMax(18utc)=-6°C

14/07/10 - day 2
- Wind: S 12-17kt becoming SSW 15-20kt
- Weather: thickening cloud at nearly all levels, increasing risk for snow or snow showers. Temporarily drifting or blowing snow.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-10°C (18utc)=-4°C.
 
15/07/10 - day 3
- Wind: SSW 13-18kt, gradually becoming 8-13kt
- Weather: periods with rather thick low clouds and snow or snow showers in between the occasional short sunny spell. Slightly improving after 18/21utc.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-8°C (18utc)=-6°C

Neem 2010: Forecast 02 July - day 64

Friday, July 2nd, 2010

vis02uly

Sat image from Canada Weather Office

General
This mornings satellite image shows North of Spitsbergen a well formed depression with an associated occlusion front (purple). The cold front (blue) of this system stretches out toward the North of Greenland but is not expected to affect the weather over Neem, except from some detached medium and high level clouds.
The remainder of this period is determined by an air mass that is very dry at all levels.

02/07/10 - day 1
- Wind: SE 4-8kt after 9/12utc becoming SE 6-10kt.
- Weather: sunny with patches of medium and high clouds, no significant change.
- Temperature: Min06utc=-18c dayMax(18utc)=-6/-8C
 
03/07/10 - day 2
- Wind: S to SSE 6-10kt, after 15/18utc becoming S 4-8kt
- Weather: sunny and clear, no significant change
- Temperature: (6utc)=-15C (18utc)=-6/-8°C.
 
04/07/10 - day 3
- Wind: SE 5-10kt, no significant change
- Weather: sunny and clear, no significant change
- Temperature: (6utc)=-18°C (18utc)=-6°C

Kite Greenland 2010: Forecast May 25 - day 20

Tuesday, May 25th, 2010

horseshoe2

No satellite image availble but this is a nice picture of the Horseshoe Valley - Patriot Hills, Antarctica(c) Marc de Keyser

High temperatures are the main concern of ‘the guys on the ice’. Hopefully they get at their destination really soon so they can put on some nice dry and clean socks!

Day1-25 May @Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 12-17kt becmg ESE 5-10kt
wx: sunny
Temps:+2C later +6C

Day2-26 May @Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 7-12kt nsc
Wx: sunny
Temp:min+3C/max:+8C

Day3-27 May @ Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 4-8kt becoming weak/calm
Wx: sunny later some low clouds
Temp:min+4C/max:+10C

Advice: hey guys, need swimming trunks? Still high temps even during night. let me know when you arrived. cheers. marc.

Kite Greenland 2010: Forecast May 23 - day 19

Sunday, May 23rd, 2010

At Kangatsiaq!

dsc_0179

Typical landscape on the West coast of Greenland. (c)Marc De Keyser

At this time of the year the weather at the Greenland iwest coast is pretty hot! Positive temperatures all day long, climbing as high as  +10C! Hope they didn’t run out of sun screen.

Day1-24 May @ Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 15-20kt nsc
wx: sunny
Temps:+2C later +8C

Day2-25 May @ Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 5-10kt, turning to E
Wx: sunny
Temp:min+3C/max:+10C

Day3-26 May @ Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 8-12kt becmg 5-10kt
Wx: sunny.
Temp:min+4C/max:+10C

Kite Greenland 2010: Forecast May 22 - day 17

Saturday, May 22nd, 2010

Again hot and sweaty on the Ice Cap. During daytime temperatures exceed easily 0°C, which makes the snow very sticky. However  the wind is pretty good to kite, they could reach Kangatsiaq (68,330/-50.000) their new destination.

Day1-23May 67.8/-47.8
Wind: SE 15-20kt nsc
wx: enlarging sunny spells
Temps:0C later +3C

Day2-24May N68.2/W48.8
Wind: SE 14-18kt, after 9/12utc SE 12-16kt
Wx: sunny
Temp:min0C/max:+2C

Day3-25May N68.3/W50: Kangatsiaq
Wind: SE 12-16kt, after 15utc
Wx: sunny.
Temp:min-2C/max:+2C

Advice: still good wind conditions: very warm: sticky snow, traveling at night will NOT make a big difference. Take care, be carefull.

Kite Greenland 2010: Forecast May 21 - day 17

Friday, May 21st, 2010

carl11

Oh yes, this is Carl allright! Not on the icecap of Greenland, but near Patriot Hills, Antarctica (c) Marc De Keyser

Excellent kite conditions to go all the way!

Day1-22May 67.6/-47.5
Wind: SE 14-18kt nsc
wx: clearing becmg sunny
Temps:-6C later 0C

Day2-23May N68.3/W47.5
Wind: ESE 15-20kt, after 15utc SE 10-15kt
Wx: sunny spells.
Temp:min-4C/max:0C

Day3-24May N68.8/W48.5
Wind: SE 14-18kt, nsc
Wx: sunny.
Temp:min-4C/max:0C

Advice: good wind conditions: use ESE to goNorth and on day 3 use SE to go West. Possibly, if ur lucky you’ll arrive on day 3. keep going!m

Neem 2010: Forecast 21 May - day 25

Friday, May 21st, 2010

ch3-2

Channel 3 Sattelite Image of Greenland: dark patches indicate areas with liquid water content: (precipitable) low clouds (c) Picture: Weather Office Canada

General
The latest sat shot shows a significant patch of low level moisture to the West of the site. According to the model output, this should affect the site as from tomorrow. However i would not be surprised if this poor weather spell should start later today.

21/05/10 - day 1
- Wind: S 5-10kt, after 12/15utc becoming S 8-13kt.
- Weather: hazy/foggy with patches of low Stratus clouds. Sunny spells as well. Some larger sunny spells after 15utc but airmass remains relatively moist with possible ice accretation.
- Temperature: Min06utc=-20c dayMax(18utc)=-12C

22/05/10 - day 2
- Wind: SSW 8-12kt, after 15/18utc becoming SW 12-16kt. 
- Weather: gradually increasing cloudiness, after 12/15utc becoming overcast with slight snow. No significant change during the rest of the day.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-16°C (18utc)=-18°C.

23/05/10 - day 3
- Wind: SSW 8-13kt, after 18utc becoming S to SSE
- Weather: overcast with slight snow, improving after 15/18utc, becoming sunny.
- Temperature: (6utc)=-6°C (18utc)=-4°C.

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