Red Bull Ragnarok 2011 - Forecast 31 March
Posted in Red Bull Ragnarok 2011 | By Marc |
On this surface weather map valid for 12utc Saturday, you can see the big frontal system extending from Spain via France up to Northern Scandinavia. The warm of the frontal system covers the largest parts of Norway. Map from Met Office (c).
Forecast Ragnarok - valid from 31/03 till 02/04/2011
General Situation
The high pressure cell is further moving away which allows frontal depressions to come across Norway. Today and especially Saturday will be poor days. On Saturday a big warmfront is coming closer which results in the advection of very warm air and possibly liquid precipitation (!)
For wind and weather details see forecast below. (indicated wind speed is average and expressed in meter per second, to get knots X1.8)
Wind forecast
Thursday 31st of March
AM: 120-140°(SE) 4-5m/s slightly increasing.
PM: 110-130°(ESE) 5-7m/s, after 15/18utc 080-100°(E)3-6m/s
Friday 1st of April
AM: weak from variable directions: soon becoming 250-270°5-7ms
PM: 220-240°(SW) 4-6m/s, becoming 170-190°(S) 6-10m/s
Saturday 2nd of April
AM: 180-200°(SSW) 6-8m/s becoming 8-13m/s
PM: 180-200°(SSW) 8-13ms
Weather
Thursday 31st of March
wx: very cloudy to overcast with periods of snow, turning into sleet (snow/rain)
temperatures: morning: -8°C/afternoon: -1/-2°C
Friday 1st of April
weather: sunny spells, maybe a few fog patches to start the day, during the afternoon/evening gradually increasing cloudiness, followed by rain/sleet during following night
temperatures: morning: around 0°C/afternoon: around 0°C
Saturday 2nd of April
weather: very cloudy to overcast with periods of rain/sleet
temperatures: the whole day just above freezing
Important Remark
Models suggest that at about 1500m the wind should be significantly higher than at 1100m-values above are taken for 1100meter so the higher you go the stronger the wind will get.