Weather Forecast 15 August
Posted in Madwaysouth-Buggy Kite the Sahara | By Marc |
Hi Geoff, good morning
i understand that you guys head for dakhla (on that peninsula) to get the welded buggies. How is Steve? Is he allright? Is he to continue the trip? I made this forecast with the knowledge that you will leave from Dakhla tomorrow and head further South. Once South from D, you guys are approaching the ITCZ, which is the inter tropical convergence zone. This belt is characterized by variable and confusing wind directions, due to the hot low pressures that localy form. Please let me know if you have other plans so i can alter my forecast.
hope all is well!
Day1: 16 August-ESTimatedPosition: N23.7W16
Wind: 010-030°12-16kt (average wind) after 12utc turning to 350-010° and increasing to 18-23kt, gusty.
Temperatures: night min: 22/24°C - Day max: 28-30°C (these are screen temperatures, out there in the sun temperatures can easily exceed those values with 10 or 15 degrees during the day!)
Weather: sunny and clear
Day2: 17 August-ESTPosition: N23W16
Wind: 010-030°10-15kt (average wind), gradually decreasing to 5-10kt, after 12/15utc becoming 340-360°13-18kt
Temperatures: night min: 22-24°C - Day max: 28-30°C
Weather: sunny, tempo broken Alotcumulus cloud, like little towers, pointing to an unstable atmosphere.
Day3: 18 August-ESTPosition: N22W16.5
Wind: 020-040°5-10kt (average wind), temporarily increasing, gusty, to 10-15kt atound 18utc
Temperatures: night min: 22°C - Day max: 30-32°C
Weather: towering cloud, first signs of unstability, as approaching the itcz!
Still Valid
!!General remark: a sandy soil favours extreme surface heating which results in very turbulent wind. You have to take in account that above mentioned wind speed values are guide lines, but, especially during the afternoon they may vary significantly (turbulent gusts!). Formation of dust devils is possible.
Good luck, see you tomorrow! Marc. 